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It is well known that Brexit is a definition coined to refer to the UK's exit from the European Union. But what some small and medium investors are sometimes unaware of is the link between Spanish companies and that are listed in the selective index of the national actions that may be affected if, in summary, this procedure is completed. Because it can give more than one clue so that from now on, positions are taken or not in some of the securities that are integrated in the Spanish continuous market.
Anyway, there are several listings, and high cap and with a very specific weight in the Ibex 35. Which for now may be affected in the configuration of its prices if this political and social procedure is carried out. To the point that it can contribute a lot of euros in the operations that we carry out in the equity markets from now on. Especially if, as a result of Brexit, it can lead listed companies to develop a deep downward trend. Where we will have all the opportunities to leave us many euros along the way.
Within this general scenario, it is very convenient to pay attention to companies with commercial and commercial interests in Great Britain. Because in effect, there are a handful of listed companies whose presence in the Anglo-Saxon country is increasingly powerful and that may suffer the effects of the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union. If so, there is no doubt that its depreciation in the equity markets would be a fact from that moment on. With foreseeable falls in the conformation of their prices and that can take them to levels much lower than those that are quoted at the moment.
Brexit: Iberdrola
Electricity could be one of the most affected if the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union is consumed. At the same time, these days the news has come out in the media about the intention of the English Labor Party members to nationalize the services offered by the Iberdrola subsidiary in this part of the European continent. A fact that, if it occurred, would be a severe blow to the interests of this national equity blue chip. With very bearish implications in its price that could even carry between one and two euros in its price.
Despite the fact that the technical aspect of the Spanish electricity company is truly impeccable given that it remains in the best of the figures that can be had on the Stock Market and that it is none other than the free rise. Namely, without more resistance Ahead what can make us see more escalations in the training of their prices. Beyond its technical considerations and perhaps also from the point of view of its fundamental principles. But in return, it would be one of the values most affected by the viable exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union.
Santander very exposed
Another of the securities with the greatest exposure to this social fact is Banco Santander. Because in effect, the entity that presides Ana Botín has an exhibition above 11% to UK. Which says a lot in terms of operability and this can drag the financial institution into the stock markets. Not surprisingly, it also has a subsidiary bank in Scotland and the departure of the United Kingdom from the European Union would be noted in its income statement.
Por tanto, no quedará más remedio que extremar la prudencia en la valoración de esta compañía para incorporarse a nuestra próxima cartera de valores para los próximos años. Debido a que puedes resentir este event que puede surgir en cualquier momento. Al mismo tiempo, con un estado muy debilitado de sus acciones y que le ha llevado a probar niveles cercanos a los 4 euros por acción. Si lo pasaba, inclusive podría corregir sus posiciones todavía más e inclusive podría visitar el around 3 euros, its lowest level in recent years.
Inditex would also notice it
Even though to a lesser extent, Inditex would not do well either in this new scenario in Europe. Because we cannot forget that the clothing chain has many open centers in the main English cities and therefore it would not be alien to this measure. While on the other hand, Inditex may notice the decline in tourism in the country, where has more than 100 shopping centers. Aún cuando además es cierto que la diversificación preside su strategy comercial y empresarial. Con una altísima presencia en casi todas las zonas del mundo.
Aunque su impacto en la bolsa sería menor, no conviene subestimar esta oportunidad, que traería nuevos recortes a la compañía textil. En unos momentos en lo que se está jugando estará en una u otra tendencia. Con los mercados de renta variable en contra de sus intereses, como se ha demostrado en las últimas jornadas. Sea cual sea el caso, deberás de estar muy atento a la evolution of their prices in the financial markets. Given the opportunity that he could be a new victim of the United Kingdom's departure from the European Union.
IAG the most affected
But if there is a value that can go very wrong in this scenario, that is undoubtedly the European airline. Because IAG is in a certain way operating with this variable that can happen in Great Britain. With an undoubted exposure to currency risk, more taking into account that the estimates place a depreciation of the pound up to around 1.23 or 1.24 against the US dollar. At the same time, if IAG has not performed better in equity markets, it has been for exactly this reason. This has undoubtedly alienated a good part of its small and medium investors when it comes to taking positions.
It would be one of the values that could fall the most in the financial markets and who knows if it would be listed again in levels close to 5 euros. Faced with this worrying scenario, the best investment strategy with this value is to be absent from your positions. Even as if it will appreciate in the next few days, since it could be a tremendous bearish trap. It is a value where there is no doubt that you have more to lose than to gain and this must be taken into account so as not to make mistakes from now on. Because you can pay dearly.
Strong presence of Ferrovial
It is also worth mentioning that Ferrovial has obtained almost 20% of your UK revenue. It controls a significant stake in Heathrow Airport and the Southampton, Aberdeen and Glasgow 50%. Therefore, it is logical to understand that it would be another of the values affected by the foreseeable exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union. Where you plan to make new contracts in this territory. And all this being one of the most bullish bets within the selective index of national equities. But whatever the case, very exposed to this social fact that can weigh your business accounts for the next few quarters.
On the other hand, it cannot be forgotten that this constructor would be very sensitive to a viable impact of exchange rate risk. It would be another of the factors that we would have against from now on. And what could take you that you price cuts they were very deep. Not surprisingly, it is one of the companies that has been most appreciated in recent years. Without undergoing hardly any corrections in the conformation of their prices. It is another of the financial assets to pay attention to in this scenario that opens in Great Britain.
Expansive movements of Sabadell
Banco Sabadell ha puesto al país anglosajón en el centro de sus estrategias de negocio y puede pagarlo si el Reino Unido en resumen abandona la Unión Europea. Desde luego, y a diferencia del resto de valores mencionados en este post, este grupo financiero es el que worst technical aspect has of all. To the point that it has reached levels very close to the euro unit. In this regard, it can be said that it has been severely punished by small and medium investors. And therefore the falls could not be very intense from that moment on.
Although due to its current situation in the stock market, it is not a security that is the subject of our stock market operations. If not, on the contrary, we must be absent from any movement that could harm our interests in the investment sector. Because it is trading below the euro unit, it will take a lot of effort to break out of those levels. Where you can lose a lot of money in operations. Whatever your bias as to your short-term trend.
